MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Friday 9/30/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | Chad Kuhl | 8.0 | 5.26 | 43.0% | 27.7% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| PHI | Erick Fedde | 8.5 | 4.84 | 35.6% | 21.5% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| PHI | Anibal Sanchez | 8.0 | 4.58 | 31.1% | 17.9% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| TOR | Nick Pivetta | 8.0 | 4.52 | 30.0% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| LAA | Glenn Otto | 8.0 | 4.44 | 28.7% | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| SD | Davis Martin | 7.5 | 4.35 | 27.2% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| SEA | Ken Waldichuk | 7.0 | 4.21 | 24.8% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| NYY | Jordan Lyles | 7.5 | 4.17 | 24.2% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| STL | Johan Oviedo | 7.0 | 4.04 | 22.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| HOU | Drew Rasmussen | 7.0 | 3.95 | 20.7% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| MIN | Tyler Alexander | 7.0 | 3.83 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| CHC | Graham Ashcraft | 7.0 | 3.76 | 17.9% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| CLE | Brady Singer | 7.0 | 3.72 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| SF | Merrill Kelly | 7.0 | 3.66 | 16.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| WSH | Bailey Falter | 8.5 | 3.66 | 16.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| TEX | Reid Detmers | 8.0 | 3.56 | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| BOS | Alek Manoah | 8.0 | 3.48 | 14.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| WSH | Noah Syndergaard | 8.0 | 3.42 | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| MIL | Sandy Alcantara | 6.0 | 3.39 | 12.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| NYM | Max Fried | 6.5 | 3.37 | 12.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| ARI | Alex Cobb | 7.0 | 3.34 | 12.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| BAL | Domingo German | 7.5 | 3.33 | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| KC | Aaron Civale | 7.0 | 3.28 | 11.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| CIN | Adrian Sampson | 7.0 | 3.24 | 11.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| DET | Joe Ryan | 7.0 | 3.17 | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| CHW | Yu Darvish | 7.5 | 3.15 | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| ATL | Jacob deGrom | 6.5 | 3.13 | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| TB | Framber Valdez | 7.0 | 3.05 | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| PIT | Jack Flaherty | 7.0 | 2.96 | 8.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| OAK | Logan Gilbert | 7.0 | 2.79 | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| COL | Clayton Kershaw | 8.0 | 2.74 | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| MIA | Corbin Burnes | 6.0 | 2.61 | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | MIA | 8.0 | 95.7% | 90.0% | 80.8% | 68.5% | 54.6% | 40.6% | 28.2% |
| Jacob deGrom | ATL | 6.7 | 90.1% | 79.7% | 65.8% | 50.3% | 35.5% | 23.1% | 14.0% |
| Alek Manoah | BOS | 6.7 | 89.9% | 79.4% | 65.4% | 49.9% | 35.1% | 22.8% | 13.7% |
| Yu Darvish | CHW | 6.7 | 89.8% | 79.3% | 65.2% | 49.7% | 34.9% | 22.7% | 13.6% |
| Max Fried | NYM | 6.5 | 88.6% | 77.3% | 62.7% | 46.9% | 32.3% | 20.5% | 12.0% |
| Framber Valdez | TB | 6.4 | 88.0% | 76.4% | 61.5% | 45.6% | 31.1% | 19.6% | 11.3% |
| Clayton Kershaw | COL | 6.1 | 86.0% | 73.2% | 57.5% | 41.5% | 27.4% | 16.6% | 9.3% |
| Sandy Alcantara | MIL | 5.9 | 83.7% | 69.7% | 53.3% | 37.3% | 23.8% | 14.0% | 7.5% |
| Logan Gilbert | OAK | 5.8 | 82.6% | 68.2% | 51.5% | 35.5% | 22.4% | 12.9% | 6.8% |
| Alex Cobb | ARI | 5.5 | 79.6% | 63.9% | 46.8% | 31.1% | 18.8% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Joe Ryan | DET | 5.4 | 78.9% | 63.0% | 45.7% | 30.1% | 18.1% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Brady Singer | CLE | 5.3 | 77.3% | 60.9% | 43.5% | 28.1% | 16.5% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| Merrill Kelly | SF | 5.1 | 74.6% | 57.3% | 39.8% | 25.0% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Reid Detmers | TEX | 5.0 | 73.9% | 56.5% | 38.9% | 24.2% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Nick Pivetta | TOR | 4.7 | 69.3% | 50.9% | 33.5% | 19.8% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Drew Rasmussen | HOU | 4.5 | 66.4% | 47.5% | 30.4% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Aaron Civale | KC | 4.5 | 66.3% | 47.4% | 30.2% | 17.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Bailey Falter | WSH | 4.5 | 65.3% | 46.2% | 29.2% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Graham Ashcraft | CHC | 4.5 | 65.3% | 46.2% | 29.2% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Jack Flaherty | PIT | 4.5 | 64.9% | 45.8% | 28.9% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Domingo German | BAL | 4.4 | 63.4% | 44.1% | 27.3% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Johan Oviedo | STL | 4.3 | 62.5% | 43.1% | 26.5% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Davis Martin | SD | 4.3 | 61.4% | 42.0% | 25.5% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Noah Syndergaard | WSH | 4.2 | 59.9% | 40.4% | 24.2% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Adrian Sampson | CIN | 4.1 | 58.6% | 39.1% | 23.1% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Lyles | NYY | 4.1 | 57.6% | 38.1% | 22.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Chad Kuhl | LAD | 4.0 | 56.3% | 36.7% | 21.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Glenn Otto | LAA | 3.8 | 52.9% | 33.4% | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Erick Fedde | PHI | 3.8 | 52.4% | 33.0% | 18.3% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Anibal Sanchez | PHI | 3.8 | 51.6% | 32.2% | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Alexander | MIN | 3.7 | 50.6% | 31.3% | 17.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ken Waldichuk | SEA | 3.4 | 43.9% | 25.4% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 104 | Anibal Sanchez | 27.3% | +265 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 104 | Erick Fedde | 27.3% | +265 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 103 | Jordan Lyles | 26.0% | +285 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 109 | Domingo German | 26.0% | +285 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 107 | Chad Kuhl | 25.8% | +290 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 106 | Anibal Sanchez | 25.6% | +290 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 106 | Erick Fedde | 25.6% | +290 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 101 | Nick Pivetta | 24.8% | +305 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 24.4% | +310 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Yes | 104 | Erick Fedde | 23.8% | +320 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Yes | 104 | Anibal Sanchez | 23.3% | +330 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 103 | Glenn Otto | 23.3% | +330 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 97 | Jack Flaherty | 23.2% | +330 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 109 | Jordan Lyles | 22.5% | +345 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 97 | Jacob deGrom | 22.4% | +345 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 94 | Alek Manoah | 22.2% | +350 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | Yes | 106 | Bailey Falter | 22.2% | +350 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 102 | Chad Kuhl | 22.0% | +355 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 101 | Nick Pivetta | 22.0% | +355 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | Yes | 99 | Ken Waldichuk | 21.7% | +360 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 101 | Nick Pivetta | 21.5% | +365 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Sandy Alcantara | 20.8% | +380 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 107 | Chad Kuhl | 20.8% | +380 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 96 | Davis Martin | 20.7% | +380 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | No | 106 | Noah Syndergaard | 20.7% | +385 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 101 | Nick Pivetta | 20.5% | +390 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 106 | Erick Fedde | 20.1% | +400 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Drew Rasmussen | 19.9% | +400 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 102 | Chad Kuhl | 19.9% | +405 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 103 | Jordan Lyles | 19.7% | +410 |
| Ty France | SEA | Yes | 99 | Ken Waldichuk | 19.5% | +415 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 101 | Nick Pivetta | 19.4% | +415 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 95 | Yu Darvish | 19.4% | +415 |
| Triston Casas | BOS | Yes | 94 | Alek Manoah | 19.2% | +420 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | Yes | 97 | Max Fried | 19.2% | +420 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 103 | Graham Ashcraft | 19.1% | +425 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | No | 103 | Graham Ashcraft | 19.1% | +425 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 103 | Aaron Civale | 18.8% | +430 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Davis Martin | 18.6% | +435 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 103 | Jordan Lyles | 18.5% | +440 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 103 | Graham Ashcraft | 18.5% | +440 |
| Nick Maton | PHI | Yes | 104 | Erick Fedde | 18.4% | +445 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 101 | Nick Pivetta | 18.2% | +450 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 18.2% | +450 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 97 | Jack Flaherty | 18.0% | +455 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | Yes | 106 | Bailey Falter | 18.0% | +455 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Joe Ryan | 18.0% | +455 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 99 | Logan Gilbert | 18.0% | +455 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 103 | Domingo German | 17.9% | +460 |
| Stuart Fairchild | CIN | No | 103 | Adrian Sampson | 17.9% | +460 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 106 | Anibal Sanchez | 17.7% | +465 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | No | 106 | Noah Syndergaard | 17.7% | +465 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 108 | Glenn Otto | 17.6% | +465 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 87 | Merrill Kelly | 17.6% | +470 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 97 | Jack Flaherty | 17.4% | +475 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 17.4% | +475 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Chad Kuhl | 17.2% | +480 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Brady Singer | 17.0% | +490 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 102 | Chad Kuhl | 16.9% | +495 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 102 | Drew Rasmussen | 16.9% | +495 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Yes | 97 | Johan Oviedo | 16.8% | +495 |
| Elehuris Montero | COL | Yes | 107 | Clayton Kershaw | 16.7% | +500 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 103 | Graham Ashcraft | 16.7% | +500 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 100 | Jacob deGrom | 16.6% | +505 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | No | 108 | Reid Detmers | 16.4% | +510 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | Yes | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 16.4% | +510 |
| Dylan Moore | SEA | Yes | 99 | Ken Waldichuk | 16.4% | +510 |
| Keston Hiura | MIL | No | 103 | Sandy Alcantara | 16.0% | +525 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | Yes | 107 | Clayton Kershaw | 16.0% | +525 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 95 | Davis Martin | 15.9% | +530 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 101 | Drew Rasmussen | 15.8% | +535 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 102 | Chad Kuhl | 15.6% | +545 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 103 | Sandy Alcantara | 15.4% | +550 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | No | 103 | Corbin Burnes | 15.4% | +550 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | No | 97 | Jacob deGrom | 15.3% | +555 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | Yes | 106 | Bailey Falter | 15.2% | +560 |
| Alex Call | WSH | Yes | 106 | Bailey Falter | 15.2% | +560 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 15.1% | +560 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 91 | Johan Oviedo | 15.1% | +565 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 109 | Domingo German | 15.0% | +565 |
| Gunnar Henderson | BAL | Yes | 109 | Domingo German | 15.0% | +565 |
| David Villar | SF | No | 90 | Merrill Kelly | 15.0% | +570 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 97 | Jack Flaherty | 14.9% | +570 |
| Josh Jung | TEX | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 14.8% | +575 |
| Nick Fortes | MIA | No | 103 | Corbin Burnes | 14.7% | +580 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 95 | Davis Martin | 14.7% | +580 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 95 | Yu Darvish | 14.7% | +580 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | No | 108 | Reid Detmers | 14.7% | +580 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | Yes | 107 | Clayton Kershaw | 14.6% | +585 |
| Zack Collins | PIT | Yes | 97 | Jack Flaherty | 14.3% | +600 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | NYY | Yes | 109 | Jordan Lyles | 14.3% | +600 |
| Jake Cave | MIN | No | 94 | Tyler Alexander | 14.1% | +605 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 103 | Jordan Lyles | 14.0% | +610 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 103 | Glenn Otto | 14.0% | +610 |
| Aristides Aquino | CIN | No | 103 | Adrian Sampson | 14.0% | +610 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 103 | Domingo German | 14.0% | +610 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 95 | Davis Martin | 14.0% | +615 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | Yes | 101 | Framber Valdez | 13.9% | +620 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | ARI | No | 90 | Alex Cobb | 13.8% | +625 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | Yes | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 13.6% | +635 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 87 | Alex Cobb | 13.6% | +635 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 96 | Logan Gilbert | 13.5% | +640 |
| Conner Capel | OAK | Yes | 96 | Logan Gilbert | 13.5% | +640 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 103 | Sandy Alcantara | 13.3% | +650 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 103 | Jordan Lyles | 13.3% | +650 |
| Jerar Encarnacion | MIA | No | 103 | Corbin Burnes | 13.3% | +650 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 96 | Yu Darvish | 13.2% | +655 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 90 | Merrill Kelly | 13.1% | +660 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 101 | Drew Rasmussen | 13.1% | +660 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Chad Kuhl | 13.0% | +665 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 106 | Noah Syndergaard | 12.9% | +675 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | Yes | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 12.9% | +675 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 109 | Domingo German | 12.7% | +685 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | No | 91 | Johan Oviedo | 12.6% | +690 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 94 | Joe Ryan | 12.6% | +695 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 90 | Alex Cobb | 12.5% | +700 |
| Shea Langeliers | OAK | No | 99 | Logan Gilbert | 12.2% | +720 |
| Alex Call | WSH | No | 106 | Noah Syndergaard | 12.2% | +720 |
| Curt Casali | SEA | Yes | 99 | Ken Waldichuk | 12.2% | +720 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Brady Singer | 12.1% | +725 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 103 | Aaron Civale | 12.1% | +725 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Drew Rasmussen | 12.0% | +730 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 97 | Jacob deGrom | 12.0% | +735 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 87 | Alex Cobb | 11.8% | +750 |
| Jarred Kelenic | SEA | No | 96 | Ken Waldichuk | 11.6% | +765 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | No | 99 | Joe Ryan | 11.5% | +770 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 99 | Brady Singer | 11.5% | +770 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | No | 106 | Anibal Sanchez | 11.4% | +775 |
| Abraham Toro | SEA | Yes | 99 | Ken Waldichuk | 11.4% | +775 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | Yes | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 11.4% | +775 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 97 | Max Fried | 11.2% | +790 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 96 | Yu Darvish | 11.2% | +795 |
| JJ Bleday | MIA | Yes | 101 | Corbin Burnes | 11.2% | +795 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 109 | Domingo German | 11.2% | +795 |
| Sam Huff | TEX | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 11.0% | +805 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 101 | Drew Rasmussen | 11.0% | +810 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 11.0% | +810 |
| Enrique Hernandez | BOS | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 11.0% | +810 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 101 | Nick Pivetta | 11.0% | +810 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | Yes | 101 | Framber Valdez | 10.8% | +820 |
| Jose Siri | TB | Yes | 101 | Framber Valdez | 10.8% | +820 |
| Zach McKinstry | CHC | Yes | 96 | Graham Ashcraft | 10.7% | +835 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | No | 106 | Erick Fedde | 10.7% | +835 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 99 | Ken Waldichuk | 10.7% | +840 |
| Drew Waters | KC | Yes | 103 | Aaron Civale | 10.6% | +840 |
| Elvis Andrus | CHW | No | 96 | Yu Darvish | 10.5% | +855 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 96 | Yu Darvish | 10.5% | +855 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 96 | Yu Darvish | 10.5% | +855 |
| Sergio Alcantara | ARI | Yes | 87 | Alex Cobb | 10.5% | +855 |
| Victor Robles | WSH | Yes | 106 | Bailey Falter | 10.5% | +855 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 103 | Adrian Sampson | 10.4% | +860 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | No | 103 | Glenn Otto | 10.4% | +860 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 103 | Domingo German | 10.4% | +860 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 100 | Jacob deGrom | 10.3% | +865 |
| Stephen Vogt | OAK | Yes | 96 | Logan Gilbert | 10.0% | +900 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 96 | Graham Ashcraft | 10.0% | +900 |
| Yasmani Grandal | CHW | Yes | 95 | Yu Darvish | 9.9% | +910 |
| Orlando Arcia | ATL | No | 97 | Jacob deGrom | 9.9% | +915 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | SF | Yes | 87 | Merrill Kelly | 9.8% | +920 |
| Cavan Biggio | TOR | Yes | 94 | Nick Pivetta | 9.8% | +920 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 94 | Joe Ryan | 9.8% | +920 |
| Alan Trejo | COL | Yes | 107 | Clayton Kershaw | 9.7% | +930 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | Yes | 97 | Max Fried | 9.7% | +935 |
| David Peralta | TB | No | 102 | Framber Valdez | 9.6% | +940 |
| Kyle Stowers | BAL | Yes | 109 | Domingo German | 9.5% | +955 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 108 | Glenn Otto | 9.4% | +960 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 9.3% | +975 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 95 | Davis Martin | 9.1% | +995 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | Yes | 87 | Merrill Kelly | 9.1% | +995 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 87 | Merrill Kelly | 9.1% | +995 |
| Jason Vosler | SF | Yes | 87 | Merrill Kelly | 9.1% | +995 |
| Corbin Carroll | ARI | Yes | 87 | Alex Cobb | 9.1% | +995 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 97 | Jacob deGrom | 9.1% | +995 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | WSH | Yes | 104 | Noah Syndergaard | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 104 | Anibal Sanchez | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Nick Gordon | MIN | No | 94 | Tyler Alexander | 8.9% | +1015 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 101 | Sandy Alcantara | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Jace Peterson | MIL | Yes | 101 | Sandy Alcantara | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Mike Toglia | COL | Yes | 107 | Clayton Kershaw | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Eddie Rosario | ATL | Yes | 100 | Jacob deGrom | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | WSH | Yes | 106 | Bailey Falter | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 91 | Johan Oviedo | 8.6% | +1060 |
| Corey Dickerson | STL | Yes | 97 | Johan Oviedo | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Charlie Culberson | TEX | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 99 | Brady Singer | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Sam Haggerty | SEA | Yes | 99 | Ken Waldichuk | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 103 | Adrian Sampson | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Connor Joe | COL | Yes | 107 | Clayton Kershaw | 7.9% | +1160 |
| Yadier Molina | STL | No | 91 | Johan Oviedo | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 101 | Drew Rasmussen | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Austin Slater | SF | No | 90 | Merrill Kelly | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | No | 90 | Merrill Kelly | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 97 | Johan Oviedo | 7.8% | +1185 |
| Austin Hedges | CLE | No | 99 | Brady Singer | 7.7% | +1190 |
