3 MLB Player Prop Bets to Target on Monday 4/3/23

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash) to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Utilizing our projections as a guide and looking at the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are some spots where you can find value today in the prop-betting market.

Here are some MLB player prop bets to make tonight.

Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

Oneil Cruz To Hit a Run (+350)

Oneil Cruz has massive power and a great matchup for a home run tonight.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 4.40 implied run total against the Boston Red Sox and have some great factors going in their favor tonight. Right from the jump, Fenway Park is a very favorable hitting environment and constantly puts hitters in a great spot. Next, we see 10-15 mph wind blowing out toward center field tonight. Wind is also a big boost for hitters, and add that to one of the best parks in the league, we could be in for some fireworks tonight.

The Sox will have Kutter Crawford on the mound tonight, a pitcher that struggled versus lefties last season, making him the ideal pitcher to attack. Last year, Crawford allowed a .600 SLG, .407 wOBA, 2.64 HR/9, 4.54 xFIP, 51.8% fly-ball rate, and 45.2% hard-contact rate to left-handed hitters.

Those are some of the worst numbers you will find on today's slate, and that means going directly to Oneil Cruz. Last season, Cruz had a 132 wRC+, .238 ISO, .358 wOBA, 39.9% hard-contact rate, and 35.0% fly-ball rate versus right-handed pitchers.

As always, I'm looking to add Cruz to Record an RBI (+140).

Anthony Rizzo To Record 2+ Total Bases (+100)

The New York Yankees have a 4.47 implied run total at home set to take on the Philadelphia Phillies.

This is a very straightforward prop where we have a pitcher who struggles against left-handed hitters and a lefty hitter who is solid against right-handed pitchers. That pitcher would be Taijuan Walker, who allowed a .390 SLG, 4.14 xFIP, 1.02 HR/9, 37.2% fly-ball rate, and a low 21.7% strikeout rate versus left-handed hitters last season.

Those aren't numbers you need to be worried about, and it puts Anthony Rizzo in a great spot for some production tonight. Last season, Rizzo carried a .342 wOBA, 125 wRC+, .235 ISO, 19.4% strikeout rate, and a big 50.2% fly-ball rate versus right-handed pitchers.

Rizzo hits in the middle of the Yankees' lineup and will generally be in great spots at the plate to get on base.

Freddie Freeman To Record an RBI (+135)

Freddie Freeman is on pace for zero RBIs this season.

That's only because Freeman has yet to record an RBI this season. I know that's a bit silly, but we need to evaluate Freeman's matchup today at face value, and let me tell you -- it's a great one. The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 4.95 implied run total and could easily exceed that with Ryan Feltner on the mound for the Colorado Rockies.

Last year, Feltner allowed a .332 wOBA, .443 SLG, 4.67 xFIP, 1.45 HR/9, 19.1% strikeout rate, 42.5% fly-ball rate, and 38.6% hard-contact rate to left-handed hitters. Yikes. Those are some rough numbers to be sporting against the Dodgers lineup, and it should put Freeman in a spot to grab his first RBI of the year.

Last season, Freeman rocked a 167 wRC+, .406 wOBA, .194 ISO, 11.6% strikeout rate, 39.6% hard-contact rate, and 35.9% fly-ball rate versus right-handed pitchers. It's the ideal matchup for Freeman, and it should lead to plenty of offense tonight.