FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Helper: Sunday 7/23/23

In a revenge matchup against Julio Teheran, Atlanta ranks as a top offense with a 5.28 expected run total. Which other stacks and players are also in good spots on Sunday?

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TeamOpp SPOppO/UMoneylineImplied Total
COLJesus LuzardoMIA82403.08
CHWBailey OberMIN81263.7
KCLuis SeverinoNYY91663.86
BALTaj BradleyTB8.51263.93
CLEAaron NolaPHI8.51184
WSHScott AlexanderSF8.5-1024.18
MILBryce ElderATL9.51464.22
MINLucas GiolitoCHW8-1484.3
SFMacKenzie GoreWSH8.5-1164.32
CHCJordan MontgomerySTL9.51184.47
PHIXzavion CurryCLE8.5-1384.5
TBTyler WellsBAL8.5-1484.57
TEXEmmet SheehanLAD101064.84
MIATy BlachCOL8-2954.92
STLJameson TaillonCHC9.5-1385.03
NYYJordan LylesKC9-1985.14
LADMartin PerezTEX10-1245.16
ATLJulio TeheranMIL9.5-1745.28
ARILuke WeaverCIN11-1045.45
CINJose RuizARI11-1125.55


Jesus Luzardo ($10,000)

After a 2.9% salary decrease to his lowest point this month, Luzardo is ranked as numberFire's top pitcher with a 38.0 FanDuel point projection against a Colorado Rockies' team with a .314 weighted on base average, a 20.8% strikeout rate, and a 5.3% barrel percentage.

While the 25-year old struggled in his last start, the Marlins' emerging southpaw has displayed solid consistency in his last nine outings, producing a 3.12 expected Fielding Independent Pitching rating (xFIP), a 14.5% swinging strike percentage, and eight or more strikeouts in 66% of these appearances.

With an effective 28.3% K-rate ranked second among today's slate, Luzardo has a favorable opportunity to reach his slate-high 6.83 strikeout expectation against five Colorado batters with K-rates over 27.7%.

Aaron Nola ($9,600)

At his highest salary in July after a 44.0 FanDuel point performance, Nola will face a pesky Cleveland Guardians' lineup with a low 15.8% strikeout percentage and a .318 wOBA against right-handers.

Although his matchup is not exactly ideal, Philadelphia's stud right-hander still deserves heavy consideration when observing his recent form including a 3.13 xFIP and a 29.5% K-rate in his last nine starts and today's second highest projection at 35.9 expected FanDuel points.

Taj Bradley ($8,000)

At a salary ranked ninth among today's pitchers, Tampa Bay's rookie is second on Sunday in value with a 3.86 rating and a 30.9 fantasy projection despite a recent 9.5% increase.

While some may be concerned about Bradley's current 5.29 earned run average, the 22-year old is due for a change in performance when analyzing other metrics including a 3.31 xFIP, 3.39 Skilled Interactive Earned Run Average, and an outstanding 30.6% strikeout rate.


Cincinnati Reds

In a matchup versus opener Jose Ruiz and a bullpen ranked 12th with a 4.18 xFIP, the Reds' offense stands as an important decision on Sunday with a slate-high 5.55 expected run total.

Since Arizona will likely employ several pitchers against Cincinnati, ideal stacks can contain any of their best hitters with a main focus on Matt McLain (.345 expected wOBA, 11.8% barrel rate), Jake Fraley (7.4% barrel rate, .345 expected wOBA), Christian Encarnacion-Strand (.364 expected wOBA, .544 expected slugging percentage), Jonathan India (.339 expected wOBA, 7.7% barrel rate), and Spencer Steer (.334 expected wOBA, 6.1% barrel rate).

Arizona Diamondbacks

Despite yesterday's disappointing two run performance, the Diamondbacks remain a strong stack with a 5.45 expected run total against their old teammate Luke Weaver.

To best attack Weaver's inability to get outs versus left-handed bats (5.27 xFIP, 15.9% K-rate, 9.1% walk rate), potential Arizona combinations should group together Ketel Marte (.353 expected wOBA, 9.3% barrel rate), Corbin Carroll (8.7% barrel rate, .344 expected wOBA), and Alek Thomas (.250 expected average, 6.0% barrel rate) while Christian Walker (.340 expected wOBA, 10.5% barrel rate), Evan Longoria (.363 expected wOBA, 13.0% barrel rate), and Lourdes Gurriel (8.4% barrel rate) rate well enough their power to be mixed in.

Atlanta Braves

Julio Teheran will make his tenth Major League start at home in a very challenging matchup against an Atlanta offense ranked third overall with a 5.28 expected run total.

Through his most recent 40.2 innings, the 32-year old right-hander has accounted fo below-average production, recording a 4.72 xFIP, 18.1% K-rate, and a 8.1% opposing barrel rate while also allowing a 5.39 xFIP this season to the opposing side of the plate.

With his main weakness in mind, Matt Olson (18.8% barrel rate, .392 expected wOBA), Ozzie Albies (.330 expected wOBA, 8.3% barrel rate), Eddie Rosario (10.7% barrel rate), and Michael Harris II (9.4% barrel rate, .331 expected wOBA) are top targets among Atlanta's elite lineup.

New York Yankees

In an underrated spot against veteran Jordan Lyles, the Yankees contain an appealing 5.13 expected run total against a low-strikeout right-hander who often struggles against both sides of the plate (5.26 xFIP versus LHH, 5.42 xFIP versus RHH) while also allowing a 10.3% barrel rate.

Ideal New York groupings can involve their best power bats from either side including Jake Bauers (21.1% barrel rate, .333 expected wOBA), Giancarlo Stanton (15,8% barrel rate, .338 expected wOBA), Gleyber Torres (.350 expected wOBA, 8.0% barrel rate), Billy McKinney (.334 expected wOBA, 13.1% barrel rate), and Harrison Bader (7.5% barrel rate).