NBA

3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Thursday 11/21/19

Vaughn Dalzell  —  @VaughnDalzell Nov 21st, 2019
In what should be a shootout with Phoenix, Brandon Ingram's points scored prop looks appealing.

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.

While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money on betting everyday player props.

For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.

Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Giannis Antetokounmpo, Under 1.5 Threes Made

Giannis Antetokounmpo, Over 32.5 Points

Giannis Antetokounmpo has a very favorable matchup at home against the Portland Trail Blazers. The Blazers have lost two straight while the Bucks have won five in a row. Giannis is second in the NBA in scoring (30.5) and first in PER (33.14) through 14 games for the first-place Bucks.

Carmelo Anthony will likely be starting opposite of Giannis, and that's all that needs to be said. Milwaukee is second in points per game (119.6), and Portland 14th (111.9) while the Bucks are fourth in defensive net rating (101.6), compared to 22nd for the Blazers (110.5).

Giannis has scored 33 or more points in seven of his last nine games. Our model projects Giannis to net 31.4 points and 1.3 made three-pointers tonight. I like him to torch Melo and get to the rim at will today, resulting in hitting his over on points but the under on make three-pointers.

Brandon Ingram, Over 24.5 Points

Brandon Ingram is 10th in scoring this season (25.4) and 13th in PER (23.87) and has led the New Orleans Pelicans to their first winning streak since March.

On Tuesday, Ingram bounced back nicely after missing 10 days, scoring 21 points with 7 rebounds and 5 assists in his first game back. Last time Ingram missed time this season, he scored 25 and 27 points in his first two games back. He draws a favorable matchup versus the Phoenix Suns in what should be a high-scoring game. The teams are in the top six in points per game and combine for 230.6 per.

Our model projects Ingram at 23.1 points on 8.8 field goals made. He's made eight shots in three games this year and has scored 22.6 in those contests, compared to 26.3 points when he makes 10 shots a game. I think he'll have the freedom to get more shots up in his second game back and like him to get to the over here.