Week 7 Game Scripts to Target in Daily Fantasy Football

Kansas City Chiefs vs. New Orleans Saints

Over/Under: 50.5
Chiefs Implied Team Total: 28.50
Saints Implied Team Total: 22.00

This week, the Kansas City Chiefs draw the "flow-chart" matchup against the New Orleans Saints, who, according to our metrics, have the seventh-worst pass defense and worst rush defense on a per-play basis. New Orleans has also seen their opponents play at the fastest pace in the league, in terms of seconds per play, while their games have easily featured the most total plays per game.

Spencer Ware, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

FanDuel Price: $7,000

Even with the return of Jamaal Charles, Spencer Ware dominated the workload for Kansas City, playing 63 percent of the offensive snaps and out-snapping Charles 40-to-15. He also accounted for 65 percent of the running back touches, which resulted in a career-high 131 rushing yards and a score.

While there's certainly a chance Charles becomes more involved going forward, as far as we can tell, Ware is playing every bit the part of a workhorse back in one of the best matchups on the board. In games the Chiefs have won since the beginning of last season, they have averaged 134 rushing yards, as opposed to 106 in losses, which is pretty much right in line with the expected boosts referenced for winning running backs earlier. Since taking on a larger role for Kansas City last season, Ware has played 10 fully-healthy games. The Chiefs have won eight of those games, in which Ware has averaged 15.5 carries, 104 total yards, and 1 touchdown.

Game script sets up very well for a big game from Ware if his workload remains close to what it was last week. The Saints have given up a league-high 11 touchdowns to running backs in just five games. If we really believe the Chiefs are going to reach their 28.5-point implied team total, Ware has to be a big part of it, right? Are we expecting Alex Smith (third-lowest touchdown rate in the NFL) to account for much of the production?

Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs

FanDuel Price: $6,300

If you are expecting Smith to score multiple touchdowns in this game, Travis Kelce is the pass-catcher most likely to be on the receiving end. Kelce only saw 3 targets last week, but with Smith only attempting 22 passes last week, nobody saw more than 4 targets. Prior to that, Kelce had seen no fewer than seven targets in a game.

This week, he'll take on a Saints defense that has allowed the past two tight end groups to face them to total 178 yards and 2 touchdowns. In 2015, no defense allowed more fantasy points to opposing tight ends than the Saints. Kelce's volume makes him tough to trust in cash games, but Kansas City's implied team total gives him big-time upside in this matchup.

Others to Consider

For the Saints, Drew Brees and Brandin Cooks have some pretty extreme home/road splits and would be tough to trust in a tough road matchup. If looking for a correlation play to game stack with Ware, Michael Thomas is probably the best option. Thomas leads the team in targets over the past three weeks (25), while also easily leading the team in red zone targets on the year. Thomas will also have the path of least resistance among New Orleans receivers, as he figures to run the majority of his routes against right corner, Phillip Gaines or his injury replacement, sixth-round rookie D.J. White. Of Amari Cooper's 10 catches for 129 yards last week, 6 catches for 85 yards came on the left side against Gaines or White.