Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 7
Start Philip Rivers as a Heavy Underdog
So, we know that the Chargers are 6.5-point underdogs in Atlanta. Throughout his career as an underdog, quarterback Philip Rivers has only scored about one point more on average than he has as a favorite.
But according to the Rotoviz Game Splits App, Rivers has done much better when he's an underdog of six or more points. His career average in all games is 20.09 standard fantasy points per game, but as an underdog of six points or more, he has averaged 24.87 points per game -- an increase of almost five points more than his career average.
We also noted that this game has the highest total of the week at 53 points. Rivers has played six career games with a total of 53 or more points and has averaged 24.78 fantasy points per game in those contests.
Another favorable trend for Rivers is that the Chargers and Falcons have been involved in high-scoring affairs this season. According to Team Rankings, Falcons games have gone over the total 5 out of 6 games in 2016 while Chargers games have gone over the total 4 out of 6 times.
He is priced at $7,800, the 11th-highest among quarterbacks on FanDuel. After scoring only 11 fantasy points versus the vaunted Denver Broncos defense, his ownership may end up being lower, making Rivers a worthy start in all formats.