Fantasy Football: One Overvalued Player From Each Team

Kareem Hunt, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

Positional ADP: RB37 | Projected Finish: RB49

Rookie running back Kareem Hunt might be one of the top 10 rookie runners for 2017, but that doesn't mean he should be drafted this early.

For starters, we project Spencer Ware to finish as the No. 16 overall back in 2017. If that happens, there probably won't be enough work for Hunt to return value at his ADP. Before you scoff at the notion of Ware having that kind of success, remember that he did have a successful 2016 campaign. It just wasn't as successful as many hoped. "Falling short of expectations" is very different than "wasn't good."

Ware was one of just 22 backs to have at least 150 rushing attempts and 30 targets. That alone tells us that he's capable of handling a big workload. Ware was one of the better pass-catching running backs in the entire league. Among backs with 30 or more targets, he finished second only to Tevin Coleman in Reception NEP per target and Reception Success Rate.

So where is Hunt's work going to come from? He was a good pass catcher in college, but Pro Football Focus notes his lack of pass protection experience. I'm not saying Hunt won't have any role at all. I'm just saying it probably won't be big enough to justify drafting him at his current ADP.

Instead Try

Terrance West and Danny Woodhead from the Baltimore Ravens are both available at a similar spot in drafts. Now that Kenneth Dixon is out for the season, their stocks might climb, but so will their opportunities. Even before the Dixon injury, we projected both West and Woodhead to outscore Hunt.