Fantasy Football: One Wide Receiver to Target in Each Round of Your Draft
Round 7: Pierre Garcon, San Francisco 49ers
Average Draft Position: 7.03 (WR34)
When you get to this point in drafts, you're either looking for floor or upside, depending on what you've done through the early rounds. If you have a roster loaded with volatile players, Pierre Garcon is perfect for you.
Someone is going to have to catch passes for San Francisco 49ers, and the fact Garcon was given $17 million guaranteed this offseason sure makes it seem like the team wants him to do just that. With only Jeremy Kerley and Marquise Goodwin as his top competition at receiver, Garcon should easily pace the team in targets,
Sure, there's a pretty good chance the 49ers offense is bad, but new coach Kyle Shanahan is a good offensive mind and he's getting the band back together, so to speak. He had Garcon when he was the offensive coordinator in Washington in 2013, and he's also reuniting with quarterback Brian Hoyer, who he was the coordinator for in Cleveland in 2014.
Garcon put up a monster year in 2013, his one previous campaign under Shanahan, finishing with 113 catches, 1,346 yards and 5 scores while leading the NFL that year with an eye-popping 184 targets.
He probably won't put up those numbers, but Garcon should see signifcant volume, and he was very productive in 2016 by our metrics. Among wideouts with at least 80 targets, he ranked eighth in Reception Success Rate and seventh in Reception NEP per target -- joining Dez Bryant, Julio Jones, T.Y. Hilton and Mike Evans as the only wideouts to rank in the top 10 in both stats.
All in all, Garcon is probably being valued fairly -- hot take, I know -- but there may be a little more upside here than is commonly assumed.