30 Fantasy Football Bold Predictions for the 2017 Season
No Eagles Running Back Will Finish in the Top-30 at the Position
Why This Is Bold: LeGarrette Blount is being drafted at RB24, and the Eagles don't have one of the worst offenses in the league, so you'd expect more relevancy from their running backs.
Why This Will Happen: There's somewhat of a crowded backfield in Philly, with Blount taking early-down work while Darren Sproles sees passing-down work. That should cap the upside for both players.
Blount's coming from a situation in New England where the average offensive drive started with the team leading by 7.2 points. Last season, an ordinary Eagles drive saw them trailing by 1.2 points. With the Patriots last year, a hefty 261 of Blount's 299 attempts came while the team was ahead, and when trailing, he averaged just a 3.3 yards per carry average.
Let's just keep it real here: LeGarrette Blount is a much better running back in positive game scripts.
Why can't Sproles step up, then? Well, the worry is target market share. In 15 games last year, Sproles saw an 11.66% target market share, which was ninth-highest in football at running back. Since 2011, Sproles' lowest market share number has been 9.98%, which happened during a 15-game season in 2014 -- we've come to expect him reaching that 10% mark when healthy every season.
This year, though, the Eagles added Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith, and they also drafted a somewhat redundant running back asset in Donnel Pumphrey. With it being a contract year for Sproles -- along with the competition -- there's a chance the Eagles don't use him as much in the offense.