4 NFL FanDuel Value Plays to Target for Wild Card Weekend
One of the crucial aspects of daily fantasy football is unearthing cheap production.
Our projections can help you do just that by allowing you to sort players by their point-per-dollar value. A lot of times, the top value plays come as a result of injury situations, meaning it's imperative to see inactives on Sunday morning before setting your lineups.
This article will cover the Saturday-to-Sunday slate. When looking for a salary-saving option, check out one of these players this week.
Devin Singletary, RB, Bills ($6,200)
Devin Singletary is just too cheap for his current workload.
The rookie back has played at least 66% of snaps in nine straight games, and he logged a 96.3% snap rate in Week 16 before resting in Week 17. Not counting the finale, he's seen at least 14 carries in six consecutive games, and he's gotten multiple targets in seven of nine, including an eight-look game in Week 14.
Getting that kind of volume at this price would be noteworthy even if Singletary had a brutal matchup, but it's a favorable spot for him as the Houston Texans have surrendered the sixth-most FanDuel points per game to running backs.
We have Singletary as the third-best point-per-dollar running back this weekend -- trailing only Dalvin Cook and Alvin Kamara -- as we peg him to score 13.6 FanDuel points, making him our RB4 for this round.
Will Fuller, WR, Texans ($5,600)
As of Thursday afternoon, Will Fuller is still an injury risk for this weekend. Well, to be fair, he's pretty much always an injury risk. But he got in a limited practice Wednesday and is expected to be a game-time call Saturday. Lucky for us, the Texans play the first game of the Wild Card Round, so we'll know his status before any other games are played.
If Fuller suits up, he's awfully enticing at $5,600. Per our Brandon Gdula, in the nine games in which Fuller has played relevant snaps this season, Houston's target shares have been 28.8% for DeAndre Hopkins ($8,300) and 24.5% for Fuller, while no one else is at even 13.0%. Fuller has a 37.4% air yards share in that split, as well, which bests Hopkins' mark of 30.7%.
With stud Buffalo Bills corner Tre'Davious White likely locked on Hopkins, Fuller should be a big part of the game plan if he's healthy. That's a big if with him, but as long as Fuller is active, his big-play upside is hard to ignore at a bargain salary.
Mohamed Sanu, WR, Patriots ($5,400)
It's tough to get excited about any New England Patriots offensive player right now. Julian Edelman used to be the guy we could count on, but with Edelman banged up lately, Mohamed Sanu has become more of a factor.
In the last three games, Sanu is tops on the Pats in target share (21.1%), narrowly edging past Edelman (20.0%). Sanu's ceiling isn't all that high given the state of New England's attack, but the Patriots do boast a 25.00-point implied total, the second-highest of the weekend.
Sanu shouldn't see too much ownership, and his recent boost in role makes him an appealing play in what oddsmakers have as the second-highest scoring offense of the round.
Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seahawks ($5,900)
Travis Homer was the lead back for the Seattle Seahawks last week, but Marshawn Lynch was the man in the red zone.
Homer was in on 66% of the snaps, compared to a 30.7% clip for Lynch, and Homer had 15 opportunities (10 carries plus five targets) to Lynch's 12 (all rushes). But Homer didn't notch a single red zone carry while Lynch got three, one of which he turned into a tuddie. Plus, there's a chance Lynch's role grows in his second week with the team.
Seattle is a 1.5-point road favorite over the Philadelphia Eagles, and they carry a 23.75-point implied total, the third-best of Wild Card weekend. Philly is stout against the run -- fourth-best, per our schedule-adjusted metrics -- but Lynch is a decent cheap running back play this week due to his touchdown equity. Our projections have Lynch ranked as the fourth-best point-per-dollar play at running back.
