4 NFL FanDuel Stacks for Week 2
On the Week 2 FanDuel main slate, there are seven games projected for an over/under of 47.5-points or more, which makes for some nice team and games stacks across the league. There are also ten teams projected to score at least 24.5 points this week, which should lead to some high scoring players.
In this article, I will reflect my favorite DFS stacks for this week. These decisions are made by using player projections, Vegas implied team totals and player draft percentage projections.
I hate to be one who chases a good performance, but I have a feeling the Baltimore Ravens are going to have far more good performances than bad one this season. That’s why I’m leading off this stacks article with them once again. But this time I’m changing it up just a little, pairing up Lamar Jackson with Mark Andrews.
We know that Lamar plays a big role in the Ravens’ rushing game, offering one of the best ceilings at the quarterback position week in and week out, but it was great to see him be so efficient throwing the ball in Week 1 against the Cleveland Browns. Lamar completed 80% of his passes in that game while throwing three touchdown passes. Two of those touchdowns went to Andrews.
What was even more encouraging to see was the number of routes Andrews ran in his first game of the 2020 season. Of the 25 passing plays that Baltimore ran in Week 1, Andrews was on the field for 81% of those plays, per PlayerProfiler. That’s significantly more than his typical outing last season, when he was on the field for only 55% of Lamar’s drop backs. While it’s only a one-week sample size, I think that’s a trend we’re going to see going forward.
On top of that, Andrews has one of the best tight end matchups this weekend. Per Pro Football Focus (PFF), the primary defender he is expected to see is Houston Texans safety Eric Murray. PFF is giving Andrews a 32% matchup advantage in this contest, the third-best at the tight end position on this week’s main slate.
Both Lamar and Andrews are projected to be top scorers at their respective positions. Per our numbers, Lamar is slated at the highest-scoring quarterback in Week 2 with 24.6 points, while Andrews is second at the tight end position with 13.1 points. This is an expensive stack, but it can be worth every penny.
The next stack I like this week is a Dallas Cowboys stack with Dak Prescott and Amari Cooper.
The Cowboys are currently implied to score 29.25 points this week against the Atlanta Falcons -- the most of any team on the main slate. We saw the Falcons allow 38 points to the Seattle Seahawks in Week 1, when Russell Wilson cooked for 322 passing yards and four touchdown passes. I think those numbers are certainly within the realm of possibility for Dak this week, as well.
We currently have Dak projected to score 22.5 points, the second-most at the quarterback position -- and you get him at a $1,200 discount compared to Lamar Jackson. You also get him playing at home this week, where he was significantly better last season than he was on the road. Dak threw for 20 touchdown passes at home in 2019, compared to just 10 touchdown passes on the road.
Cooper has also been much better playing at home since becoming a Cowboy, maybe even more so than Dak. Here are Amari’s home numbers while playing in Dallas:
Amari Cooper at Jerry World since joining the Cowboys
5 receptions-58 yards-1 TD
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) September 16, 2020
Per our algorithm, Amari is currently projected to be the sixth-highest scoring wide receiver on the Week 2 main slate, but he offers the second-best FanDuel value. He’s also ranked in the top-10 of wide receiver/cornerback matchups this week, per PFF. Amari is expected to match up against Falcons’ cornerback A.J. Terrell and has a 38% matchup advantage.
After last week’s performance against the San Francisco 49ers, it’d be easy to go after Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins, but I’m going to go against the grain a little bit and bring Christian Kirk into the mix. He seems to be overlooked heading into Week 2, especially considering all the hype surrounding the Kyler/Hopkins connection. That should lead to a pretty low draft percentage for Kirk, which is great for tournaments.
But before I highlight Kirk this week, let’s quickly touch on Kyler. This guy was awesome in Week 1 against the 49ers -- particularly rushing the ball as he had 13 carries for 91 yards and a touchdown. To add to that, he also had 40 passing attempts, throwing for 230 yards and one touchdown. While I’d certainly like to see more passing yards from him this week, his dual-threat ability makes him hard to ignore against the Washington Football Team.
Kyler is currently projected to score 22.4 points this week, per our projections, the third-most among quarterbacks on the main slate. He’s also offering the best point-per-dollar value at the quarterback position, largely due to both his passing and rushing upside.
Stacking him up with Kirk will likely make for a contrarian stack this week, even if Kyler is one of the more popular quarterbacks.
Kirk had five targets in Week 1 against the 49ers, totaling for 70 air yards, per PlayerProfiler. Two of those targets were also considered deep balls, where the ball traveled at least 20 yards or more in the air. One of those balls was overthrown, and pass interference was called on the other.
While Kirk ultimately had only one catch in the game, he did see 36% of the team’s total air yards. He saw a lot of Richard Sherman last week and will have a much easier matchup this time against Ronald Darby.
The Cardinals seem to want to get the ball out of Kyler’s hands quickly, which makes sense given the Cardinals’ subpar offensive line, but all it takes is a few deep shots to Kirk for him to have a big game. We saw him do that last year against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, when he had six receptions for 138 receiving yards and three touchdowns.
The final stack I like this week is a bit more unique by stacking up a running back with his defense.
The Tennessee Titans host the Jacksonville Jaguars and sport an implied total of 25.75 points. They’re also 7.5-point favorites, and I think that may be a little generous to the Jaguars. We saw the Titans hold the Denver Broncos to just 14 points in Week 1 while playing on the road. Now we get them on their home turf in what could be one of the most lopsided games in Week 2.
This is a perfect game script to tie together a running back and defense. If the Titans can run up the score early in this game, they will likely grind out the clock in the second half by rushing the ball a lot with Henry.
While that’s obviously good for Henry, that also bodes well for the defense. If they Jags find themselves playing catch-up and throwing the ball a lot, the Titans' defense will have ample opportunity to create pressure on Jags quarterback Gardner Minshew . The more pressure opportunities a defense has in a game, the more chances they have to create sacks and turnovers.
All in all, Henry should feast in this game no matter the game script. He’s currently projected to lead all running backs on the main slate with 93 rushing yards and 0.92 rushing touchdowns, per our numbers. We also saw him get involved in the passing game last week against the Broncos by catching all three of his targets.
This is a smash spot for Henry, and don’t be surprised if the Titans' defense has a field day, as well, against a rather blah Jaguars offense (sorry, Minshew).
Griffin Swanson is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Griffin Swanson also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username GriffDogg_. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. (edited)