Fantasy Football: Will Kyle Pitts Be a High-End Producer Immediately With the Falcons?
One of the most hyped-up tight ends in recent draft history, Kyle Pitts came off the board fourth overall to the Atlanta Falcons. Things trended this way leading into the draft as FanDuel Sportsbook had Pitts at -390 at to be the the fourth pick.
This is the culmination of a pre-draft process that saw Pitts receive an enormous amount of praise everywhere you looked. Pitts earned the highest ever single-season PFF grade for a tight end during his 770-yard, 12-touchdown junior season in 2020. PlayerProfiler gives Pitts a 96th percentile breakout age, 92nd percentile college dominator rating and 87th percentile SPARQ-x rating.
Dude is a monster, and he checks about every box imaginable. But we know tight ends usually start their careers slowly in the NFL. Will Pitts be an exception?
numberFire's JJ Zachariason and Jim Sannes break down Pitts' profile, and Jim gives his top comparison.
How good is Kyle Pitts?
He has TE1 upside in fantasy football, according to @LateRoundQB #RiseUpATL | #NFLDraft pic.twitter.com/fhaJ3ktibC
— FanDuel (@FanDuel) April 30, 2021
Brandon Gdula's draft database has found these 10 prior prospects to have the most similar statistical profiles to Pitts. Keep in mind that these are based not on play style or traits but age, athleticism, draft equity, experience, efficiency, and production.
|Kyle Pitts Profile Comparisons||Similarity|
Gdula's Take: Pitts certainly deserves the TE1 grade -- and it's not close. He trails just Vernon Davis among tight end prospects in my model, which dates back to 2003.
Pitts' 2021 Fantasy Football Projection
Zachariason's initial rookie-year projections for Pitts include 67 catches, 771 yards and 6.7 touchdowns over the 17-game season, making him the PPR TE6.
While that projection is certainly eye-catching for a rookie tight end, Pitts' floor and ceiling could be even higher if the Falcons trade away Julio Jones, something that might happen this offseason, according to reports. As of now, Pitts, Jones and Calvin Ridley make up a pretty fearsome pass-game trio, and Matt Ryan -- who Zachariason projects as the QB12 -- should be a big beneficiary.