Trevor Lawrence Has All the Traits to Be a Franchise Quarterback for Jacksonville

Lawrence to the Jaguars was a virtual lock, but it's now finalized. What does that mean for Lawrence's fantasy football outlook?

One of the biggest locks we've seen in the NFL Draft in years was that Trevor Lawrence would go first overall to the Jacksonville Jaguars, as he was listed at -50000 on FanDuel Sportsbook to be the top pick.

Now it's official.

Lawrence, by all accounts, has a lot of the traits to be a franchise passer in the NFL. How does he compare to former prospects, and how does he project in 2021?

Trevor Lawrence Player Comparisons

numberFire's JJ Zachariason and Jim Sannes break down Lawrence's profile, and Jim gives his top comparison for Lawrence.

Brandon Gdula's draft database has found these 10 prior prospects to have the most similar statistical profiles to Lawrence. Keep in mind that these are based not on play style or traits but age, athleticism, draft equity, experience, efficiency, and production.

Trevor Lawrence Profile Comparisons Similarity
Baker Mayfield 88.6%
Marcus Mariota 87.9%
Andrew Luck 87.6%
Alex Smith 85.8%
Joe Burrow 85.3%
Blake Bortles 84.6%
Cam Newton 84.5%
Justin Herbert 84.0%
Carson Wentz 82.9%
Zach Wilson 82.6%

Gdula's Take: There's not a whole lot to add to the discourse here, but Lawrence has high-end comps and good age-adjusted experience. Profiles don't get much better than this.

Lawrence's 2021 Fantasy Football Projections

Zachariason's initial 2021 projections for Lawrence include 4,356 passing yards, 27.2 touchdowns and 14.4 interceptions, making him the QB15 for the 17-game season.

Don't sleep on Lawrence's rushing ability, either, which is no small matter in fantasy. Lawrence had 17 total rushing tuddies across his final two seasons at Clemson, and Zachariason projects him for 264 rushing yards and 1.4 scores in 2021.

In Jacksonville, Lawrence has a supporting cast that is highlighted by D.J. Chark, Marvin Jones, Laviska Shenault and James Robinson. The Jaguars are listed at +10000 to win the Super Bowl on FanDuel Sportsbook and have a win total projection of 6.5 (with the under listed at -133) on FOX Bet.