3 NFL Player Prop Bets for Monday Night Football: Week 15

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy football.

Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools and simulations to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had this week.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Each and every week I'll be bringing separate prop bets articles for Monday Night Football, Thursday Night Football, and the Sunday main slate.

Note: Betting lines and our player projections may change after this article is published.

Allen Lazard Any Time Touchdown (+270)

Week 15 ends at the Frozen Tundra of Lambeau Field as the Green Bay Packers host the Los Angeles Rams.

This game features a modest 39.5-point over/under with the home Packers being favored by 7.5-points, and we want our player props to reflect that game environment.

We'll jump right in and go to Allen Lazard for any time touchdown tonight at +270. Lazard hasn't found the endzone in any of the last four games, but he continues to play a large role in the Packers' passing game and is frankly due for a score.

On the season, Lazard has a 21.1% target share, 32.7% air yards share, 12.5 average depth of target (aDOT), and 24.5% red zone target share. He has a consistent level of involvement every week but hasn't been able to find the endzone lately. It's really no fault of his own. We've seen Christian Watson take a big step forward and start producing plenty of touchdowns.

When it comes to the matchup against the Rams, their defense isn't as stingy as it once was. The Rams are in the bottom half of the league for the most yards (2,090) and touchdowns (12) allowed to wide receivers this season.

Lazard plays a clear role for the Packers, and with a favorable matchup, he should be able to find the endzone for the first time in four games.

Cam Akers Over 53.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

The Rams' offense will likely lean on the rushing game tonight.

Last week's game against the Las Vegas Raiders was one for the history books -- a crazy comeback in the fourth quarter led by a quarterback, who had been with the team for roughly 48 hours. While that's all fun and games, what we saw from the Rams on offense was more important.

They held a 46.37% rush-play percentage, which was noticeably higher than their 38.63% rate from the entire season. Realistically, that isn't too much of a surprise. With a brand-new quarterback, they want to limit Baker Mayfield's mistakes and stick to the running game.

That is what we could be seeing from them tonight, and it's also an elite matchup versus a very suspect Packers run defense, which has allowed the sixth-most (1,607) rushing yards to running backs this season.

Cam Akers posted 42 and 60 rushing yards over the last two weeks, and with the soft matchup, he should find himself in a similar spot tonight. We have him projected for 55.49 rushing yards.

AJ Dillon Over 10.5 Receiving Yards (-108)

Finally, going with over 10.5 receiving yards for A.J. Dillon.

The Packers have a few things going on with their backfield, and it's a spot that we can look to capitalize on. First off, star running back, Aaron Jones was listed as limited in practice throughout the entire week but doesn't carry any injury designation for tonight's game. That is rather interesting since the Packers are coming off their bye week, yet Jones still wasn't healthy enough for a full practice.

We should also take into account that the Packers are essentially eliminated from the playoff hunt. Jones is their star running back and is locked up for a few more seasons with a big contract. Today, the Packers elevated running back Patrick Taylor to the 53-man roster.

Does any of this matter? I pose this question as an indication that we could see a decreased role for Jones since he isn't fully healthy and the Packers don't have much to play for the rest of the way.

When it comes to Dillon, he's already seeing an increased role in the passing game and enters this game with three or more targets in three of the last five games. That has led to him posting 26, 24, 10, 10, and 0 receiving yards in these last five games. Compare those to the five games before that, where he ended with 9, 0, 11, 0, and 11 receiving yards.

The increase is there, and if Jones is going to see his role limited for the Packers, Dillon will have a clear path to more involvement in the offense.