5 Daily Fantasy Football Matchups to Exploit in Week 15

Los Angeles Rams' Passing Offense

As with the Patriots against the Steelers, there are multiple ways you can attack this little tussle out west. Russell Wilson gets to face a secondary that could be missing a few pieces, and Mike Davis -- if healthy -- is a low-cost back in a high-powered offense. But with the losses Seattle's defense has taken, we'd be foolish to ignore Jared Goff and the Rams' passing game.

For the full season, Goff has essentially gone as his matchup has gone. He has beat up on poor opponents while struggling against those who present a tougher task. This is what you would inherently expect, but he has been extremely polar in this sense.

Five of Goff's 13 starts this year have come against defenses ranked 17th or worse against the pass, according to numberFire's metrics. Below are his splits in those games compared to his other eight starts. Passing NEP per drop back is the expected points he has added on a per-drop back basis, deducting for events such as sacks, interceptions, and incompletions. FD PPG shows his average fantasy output based on FanDuel's scoring rules.

Dude has no regard for the feelings and emotions of bad teams. You ain't gotta kill 'em, Jared.

The question then comes down to whether you view the Seahawks in their current state as being a poor defense. We can get a better grasp of this by checking out what they've done since the injuries to Richard Sherman and Kam Chancellor.

For the full season, the Seahawks still rank 12th against the pass. But as you can see, their abilities to stop opponents have fallen off a cliff the past four games.

The league-average Passing NEP per drop back is 0.08, and quarterbacks have easily exceeded that since the big injuries to this secondary. The post-injury sample includes games against C.J. Beathard and Blake Bortles, so it hasn't been exclusively tough competition. That makes it seem like this would be a defense that Goff could handle.

We should generally be a bit wary of teams facing a divisional opponent for a second time, which is the case in this instance. But this Seattle defense is nothing like what it was when the teams first met back in Week 5. When filling out game stacks of the two high-profile matchups, we can't simply overlook Goff at $7,600.

Another plus for Goff is that he'll likely get back one of his top receiving options in Robert Woods after Woods sat the past three games. It's great for Goff and his efficiency, but it certainly makes stacking with Goff a bit more dicey.

The Rams played three games after their bye before Woods got hurt. Here's a look at their distribution of targets in those three games. A "deep" target is any throw that travels at least 16 yards beyond the line of scrimmage.

For that three-game window, Woods was operating as a legit top-end wide receiver. The injury brought that to a screeching halt. If we were guaranteed that usage, he'd be a no-brainer at $6,700. We just have to ask whether or not that's a fair expectation.

Normally, it'd be good to deploy some skepticism here because a three-week absence is no joke. But Woods was able to get in a practice last Friday and was labeled questionable for Week 14. That indicates that he's a little ahead of a normal schedule here, possibly allowing us to view him a bit differently.

Woods' salary provides us a bit of relief. If he were to jump back into his old role, he'd be a screaming bargain at $6,700. As it stands, it's moreso that he's fairly priced. It stands to reason that if Goff were to explode in Week 15 that Woods would be part of that dominance. This means we should likely view him as being the top stacking partner for Goff while still giving some consideration to both Cooper Kupp and Sammy Watkins.